ICI-26 Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

Techniques to avoid mistakes with information collection, -analysis, -reporting and decision making Information for CI analysis comes from multiple sources that have different references and come in many forms of media, closeness, and familiarity to the analyst. Credibility, time sequence, and relevance of the information is difficult to determine directly and changes constantly during the course of the research. Furthermore, conflicting information as well as misinformation is part of the everyday work of a CI analyst. To be able to generate high quality results, despite these potential cognitive perception mistakes and biases, the CI analyst has to be able to reliably use preventive tools and techniques for avoiding mistakes.

Highlights:

• Perceptional mistakes with information processing and analysis

• Cognitive biases with data analysis

• Mistakes with Intelligence reporting

• Typical decision making mistakes

• Methods to avoid typical Intelligence mistakes

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